Pitch Check.

Calculate the expectancy implied by a claimed win rate and reward-to-risk. Then compare it with my working estimate of how much evidence that claim should require.

Expectancy and break-even calculator

Educational tool only. This is not financial advice. It calculates the expectancy and break-even figures implied by the numbers entered and places the result within a clearly labeled working interpretation. It does not verify or disprove any person's trading, and it does not predict results. By using this tool you accept the Disclaimer.